Victoria is estimated to receive $17,167 million in GST in 2022-23. This would be a decrease of $244 million compared to 2020-21. The change reflects its share of the growth in the GST pool. It also reflects the application of the 0.7 GST relativity floor, which increases Western Australia’s GST and reduces the GST distribution to all other states. It is expected that no worse off payments will result in Victoria receiving more revenue overall from the GST distribution arrangements in 2022–23 than it received in 2021–22.
GST distribution in 2022-23
Key factors that affected Victoria's GST share in
2022-23 compared with 2021-22
How Victoria compared to other states and territories
Victoria’s capacity to raise revenue from its own taxes is lower than the national average. For example:
The characteristics of the people living in Victoria mean that the cost of providing government services is lower than the national average. For example:
Overall, the lower relative cost of providing services in Victoria outweighs its lower relative revenue raising capacity. It therefore receives a per person GST allocation below the national average.
How the GST is distributed
The Commonwealth Grants Commission provides independent advice to the Commonwealth Government on how GST revenue should be distributed to ensure each state has a similar capacity to provide services. The amount of revenue each state can raise differs because it depends on things like the value of mining production, property transactions and taxable payrolls. The cost of providing services varies too, based on things like a state’s size, its geography, where its residents live and their age, health and wealth.
Changes to the GST distribution in 2022-23 reflect the 2018 GST legislated arrangements. These include implementation of a GST relativity floor below which no state’s GST revenue sharing relativity can fall and Commonwealth top ups to the GST pool. The Commonwealth also makes separate transitional no worse off payments to the states.